22 854
Pronostici checked after the result.
Period: last 120 days · Glicko-2 and math models (no live signals)AI scoreboard
Intelligent AI scoreboard for sports analytics
The AI scoreboard shows automated partita analytics, esito probabilities, live signals and post-result model checks.
First we look at strong esiti and the mercato's accordo with the model; exact punteggio remains a reference mercato.
Pubblico metric
Pronostico di PropickAI accuracy
Available to everyone. Informational. The model is calibrated to the mercato; this is pronostico accuracy, not betting profitability.
59.33%
Overall hit-rate on the main esito.
13 560 hits out of 22 854
Model fiducia
Average pronostico
Actual (hit-rate)
Pronostici
50â60%
53.0%
58.7%
12 051
60â70%
64.6%
65.5%
4 067
70â80%
74.4%
72.0%
2 148
80%+
84.3%
88.1%
1 222
Calibration: the higher the model fiducia on the left, the higher the real hit-rate on the right. This means the model's probabilities partita reality.
Performance by sport
Hit-rate is the share of esiti correctly predicted by the model. ROI is the historical return on the model's giocata di valores (flat 1 unit, over the period). Informational, backtest, not a profit guarantee.
Sport
Pronostici
Hit-rate
Value pronostici ROI
Tennis
4 813
65.7%
n/a
Football
3 955
46.3%
n/a
Basketball
1 120
66.3%
n/a
Hockey
348
56.3%
n/a
Volleyball
262
67.9%
n/a
A hit-rate above the mercato does not guarantee positive ROI: at low quote even high accuracy can go negative (e.g. tennis). Profit holds where the model agrees with the mercato (basketball).
Method
Come funziona la nostra IA
PropickAI compares sports statistics, quote, Glicko-2, live signals and the results of completed partite. The AI scoreboard shows which models give a stable signal, where the esito probabilitĂ is confirmed by the mercato and how pronostici pass the post-game check.